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I do think Collins is a fairly good choice. Tough, which she is going to need most trying to wrangle the factions of the fractured Nats together. Soimon supporters, Muller supporters, those who don't like her, those who want a fresh face...gonna be a bit of a nightmare. All while being Judith rather than Crusher. Good luck to her. Too bad she won't be able to offer baby or wedding pics.
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Fighting words from Crusher, so much more assured in front of the press than Todd
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@Virgil said in NZ Politics:
Sounds cruel but I’d love to see how Crusher would go as leader.
Either way the millions that will be spent on this years election does seem like a waste of money now.
Go me, in a politics thread of all places too
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@rotated Mitchell was the only other contender for leader. Deputy was contested but don't know who else stood.
Labour has a stuffy white guy as Deputy too. I don't think that matters a much as the Chch rebuild taint.
I think National's only hope of winning is t adopt the following strategy
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Immediately rule out working with NZF. Stop any right leaning voter going with them and hope they fail to get 5%
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Hammer the govt on the economy. Have 5 broad attack points and keep to them. Everyone stays on script no more fuck ups.
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Collins goes hard but attacks policy not person. Look authoritative not belligerent and substantial not presidential
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Shore up the Nat vote - these two have been chosen to do that. By all accounts. Collins is quite popular with the party at large. They have had her as leader after English - it was her caucus that stymied her
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Hope the above gives them close to where they poled in 2017 and that ACT can bring in 5 or 6 MP's and its game on.
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A total fuck up at the border - say a community outbreak would help too....
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@dogmeat the challenge for national is that they need to pick up the swing voters who have headed to Labour.
Judith isn't seen as a natural for that - she'll have to defy expectations and warm up the population. Basically she needs to go full Clarke/English and just exude competence everywhere, stay on policy, stay on detail, and stay on a plan that actually shows vision for our country.
After Muller got elected, the best they came up with was $10k for businesses to employ someone new. FFS, that's poor. Someone said (prior to this) if Labour proposed Communism, National would argue they'd manage it better. IT's hard - present a competent alternative governement, and do it in 10 weeks from a standing start. Can't see it happening.
the big question is what happens to Winston. Do swing labour drift there to avoid a Labour/Greens coalition that could be further left than most people want?
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@dogmeat said in NZ Politics:
@rotated Mitchell was the only other contender for leader. Deputy was contested but don't know who else stood.
Labour has a stuffy white guy as Deputy too. I don't think that matters a much as the Chch rebuild taint.
I think National's only hope of winning is t adopt the following strategy
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Immediately rule out working with NZF. Stop any right leaning voter going with them and hope they fail to get 5%
-
Hammer the govt on the economy. Have 5 broad attack points and keep to them. Everyone stays on script no more fuck ups.
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Collins goes hard but attacks policy not person. Look authoritative not belligerent and substantial not presidential
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Shore up the Nat vote - these two have been chosen to do that. By all accounts. Collins is quite popular with the party at large. They have had her as leader after English - it was her caucus that stymied her
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Hope the above gives them close to where they poled in 2017 and that ACT can bring in 5 or 6 MP's and its game on.
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A total fuck up at the border - say a community outbreak would help too....
Isn't it Kelvin Davis?
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Timing isn’t great here for the Nats.
I don’t mean just the short period to the election, they can do and say plenty in that time.
What they have to overcome is that Labour’s recovery plans (good or not) are underway and given the delay in getting infrastructure projects started not many would want a new govt putting a hold on things while they make changes -
Bridges almost got to the right message IMHO
"Labour has done an good job handling the crisis' they have faced....but going forward a economy focused National government is whats needed"...and then go on to talk about all the stuff they will do
you dont piss off the swing voters by coming out too confrontational, you concede that people weren't wrong when they liked Jacinda and you set a platform to move forward positively...
the reality is they come out and say they have to fix all the stuff they think Labour has broken...and then people will feel disconnected frm them and they'll loose
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@dogmeat first tipping, now this...might be time pal!
At least in recent times when Judith is interviewed, she is smiling, whereas a few years back she always had a stern look on her, which wasnt welcoming.
But agree with what @nzzp says too, exude confidence, attack policy, stay away from pointing at cindy (right or wrong)
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