This post has taken me too long to get up the guts to write.
You see I'm a Professor in Public Health. One of the most important things in public health is "to do no harm". Or at least in a more practical sense, have the good by far outweigh the harms you cause with whatever intervention you choose.
This is about vaccine mandates. It's a complex and emotive issue.
The brutal truth is that there are no harm free choices here. All choices will have some harm.
But, deadlines are coming - here's our Ministry of Health's advice under public orders "Any health and disability workers (employed or voluntary, private and public) who fall under these roles must receive their first dose of the vaccine by 11.59pm 15 November 2021. They must receive their second dose by 1 January 2022."
That's Monday folks.
I'm not an “anti-vaxxer". I'm fully vaccinated.
But some people will choose not to follow these orders for various reasons. Some of them may be logical based on the data that there is no protection beyond 200 days, and the data on reductions in transmission are limited, and they are concerned about adverse events.
We all make different decisions given similar data because we are all different and have different ways of weighing risks and benefits. They may see the futility of a public health system which would on current evidence have to boost every 120-150 days to maintain vaccine efficacy. Or maybe they just don't like being told what to do, or have a more complex theory which may be spurious. Who really knows?
Anyway, the point is that there will always be a group who for whatever reason decides that, in this case, their bodily sovereignty, is sacred to them and they will refuse a public health order like this.
What this means is on Monday kids will turn up to school and their classroom teacher will no longer be there, that their mid-wife will no longer be working, that their doctor is no longer able to practice.
This will cause serious harm. It almost certainly will mean that our already overwhelmed health and education systems will not have the staff to carry out normal duties.
This debate has already caused substantial harm and division in our beautiful country.
I believe in the context of the recent Swedish data showing vaccine waning, that it's now obvious to any thinking person the futility of these mandates.
We can predict that the exact thing we are trying to avoid "overwhelming the health system" is exactly what we are going to do by firing health workers.
What government puts on its own handcuffs on and throws away the key?
This isn't us.
So sorry I can't stand by silently and watch this. I have to say something.
I'm sorry it's taken me so long to pluck up the courage.
Sorry if this upsets you, but come Monday I know of real teachers, real GPs, real mid-wives, real physios, real people without jobs. Real communities without their beloved teachers and health professionals who are here to care for them. These are my communities, my friends, my school.
These are mostly not lunatic fringe anti-vaxxers. They are people often making their own rationale decision. Yes its different than mine, but it is theirs.
I fear we are choosing more harm than good, and in my field that's just not acceptable. In fact it’s unethical and immoral.
Please think about what your thoughts are on this matter. It is really an important one for our society right now. Saying nothing when you think there will be more harm than good is complicit in supporting that harm.
Please comment, share, or do whatever you think is right here. Please if you do comment think about what you say and please confront the issues not the person.
Thanks for reading this,
Grant Schofield PhD
Professor of Public Health
*disclaimer - these views are mine and don’t represent those of anyone else, including those who employ me.
Best posts made by muddyriver
RE: Coronavirus - New Zealand
RE: Foster, Robertson, Rennie etc
I think there is many more variables into why NZ 7s dropped off.
The world putting some kind of effort into 7's being the main one.
-More players heading overseas (general depth erosion of NZ Rugby)
-7s becoming its own sport meaning players had to commit more.
-other teams adapting and evolving, which I don't think NZ did.
Under Titch in the end we were playing an awful crash ball wide style which I guess kind of suited the cattle he picked but ultimately didn't work.
He also did nothing special with Samoa that showed he was kind of done. great career but time moves on. The stories I've heard of camps he would train were horrendous on the field and in the kitchen and i know most people think that make players better but, there are clear limits to adaption and thats well beyond it.
RE: Coronavirus - Overall
@mariner4life yea people hate on the sweeden response, but their death rate did not even breach the annual mean death rate ranges.
Pretty clear covid mostly kills those who are about to die. And % of unfortunate.
If you do a full cost benefit analysis the sweeden response is pretty good. With a bit of hindsight they could have done a few things(resthomes) much better.
I assume they have a great health care system and very healthy population so most countries probably perform worse with the same strat . Although they could have learnt from their mistakes.
RE: Northland vs BOP
Every thing you have written there is controlled by the coaches and trainers I think alot of the boys have gone backwards. I too was quite excited by this squad. But I think northland has well underperformed again for the 3rd year in a row.
2017 should have done much better maybe won it.
2018 I believe rangers brilliance covered woefully coached backs.
This year has been dire besides set piece.
RE: Coronavirus - Overall
@dogmeat I swear I had 10 arguments all about transmission on this website.
Trust the science boys....
I referenced studies showing no transmission differences in vaxed vs unvaxed on population level.
Also that it was more dangerous for young people under 25 to get the vax than actual covid. All since has been studied and looks to be correct.
Fuck anyone who peer pressured people to get it based on saving grandma and grandpa
RE: Blues v Highlanders
@taniwharugby i never liked him but lam was an absolute freak in the 2015 mitre 10 cup. I think he done his ACL in the preseason of super rugby straight after so bad timing. Not really Tana's fault.
Blues general play attack was just clueless last night. Funny thing is everyone in rugby attacks very similar in the 1-33-1 shape but the blues just can't seem to create anything out of it. The small things like running square and details around passing are just not there. Last night many times they had overlaps but the defense was able to shit it down fairly easy. Dumb miss passes and lack of square threatening running.
RE: Coronavirus - Overall
@godder I'm going to give the genetics call a big fat nope.
While there is variability in peoples natural fat levels. Being obese at the rates in western society is not genetic and that is simply not debatable.
Obese people have resulted in 78% of hospitalizations in the USA according to one study.
RE: One domestic NZ competition?
@yeetyaah i feel the chiefs connect with there waikato and counties province well. Thats probably the same for for the 5 main cities/franchises where the NPC teams play in front of empty stands. Definitly wellington and waikato anyway
I feel in northland most people are more supportive of the Taniwha than any super Rugby side, and that is probably reflected in our stadium numbers.
I am on record last year advocating for a comp like this. Was the perfect time. Even an NRL type scenario with NZ 10 teams 5 aussie teams. Aussies would be very strong obviously but thatd be great.
Latest posts made by muddyriver
RE: 2023 World Sevens Series
@Higgins I've never in my many years of rugby seen someone concussed from a fend to the face though. Entirely undangerous in the scheme of things.
Now bump offs to the head would be almost the most common, and now by lowering tackles to below the hips you'll see 1000% more of those. Stupidest law change I've ever heard. The chest height tackle is the safest tackle in rugby.
@MajorRage I think he has definitly pushed the envelope, but i think he has done it for good reasons, although maybe not the smartest move. Jon Jones tried the same thing, Dana white is a harde businessman
I think he will go to PFL but this will be more side income, as he will look to have exhibition boxing matches and hollywood stuff and endorsements.
The current UFC contracts are very restrictive, the sooner a fighters union comes in the better.
Fighters should be allowed their own gear sponsers at a minimum.
RE: Súper Liga Americana de Rugby / Súper Rugby Américas
@Stargazer don't think including America and Canada is good for them. Way way too far to travel on small budgets but maybe they'll be touring.
More NZ Ireland model from the south Americans vs the 100% private model in MLR, which has announced a new team in Miami for next year also.
Rugby in south America is very strong at club level unfortunately it is very poor economically.
@Dan54 imo deans international record is decent. Japan league is hard to guage as the clubs have very differing levels of professionalism amongst the locals.
He consistently took nz on at their peak and the wallabies were very competitive.
Aussie just simply doesn't have a lot of depth, they punch above their weight due to great weather developing good backs and alot of pacific genetics.
RE: All Blacks 10 after BB & RM finish?
@sparky I think this next exodus is the final nail for super rugby. It will be just a slightly better npc, player wise. You lose the key allblacks and there is not much difference between a good npc team, just more full time, better coaching.