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I think I'll do the Tongariro Crossing this year.
Last did it about 30 years ago, and I reckon that we'll be back to 1990 levels of crowding.
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@Rapido said in Potential Positives to Look forward to:
I think I'll do the Tongariro Crossing this year.
Last did it about 30 years ago, and I reckon the we'll be back to 1990 levels of crowding.
Yeah, some of the walks that are usually overcrowded with tourists could be a good plan. Abel Ta$man is like a highway nowadays but could be quiet.
I've mentioned it before but if you have the gear look at doing the TC at night. Easter can be a good time as it is at on or near a full moon. Time your leaving to be either at top of walk or top of Tongariro at sunrise. If you are lucky you get to see the sun coming up on the coast.
I see that this year there is a supermoon on 8/4 with easter weekend starting 10/4
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@nzzp said in Potential Positives to Look forward to:
@Crucial far out that sounds amazing. Well worth it (although transport is a bit of a pig isn't it?)
It does help if you take a non walking driver with you to drop off at Mangetepopo and collect you in the morning.
You could drive yourself to the start and see if any of the shuttle operations will do a pickup and drop you back there. It is against the usual flow but they may be happy for the business.
Go very well prepared though. That changeable weather is bad enough daytime, let alone when dark. Be prepared to stop and hunker down for a little while if necessary. Obviously don't start if weather doesn't look good.
The bonus if the weather is clear is that you get the feeling of really being up there alone and the moon lights the way making it look like another planet. -
RE: supply chain redundancy, I was interested if the concentration of hard drive factories in Thailand (and there flooding) would be an interesting case study. Perhaps not.
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My employer (a large government department) has switched to half the office in at a time. My days are Monday and Tuesday plus every second Wednesday, and the other schedule is Thursday and Friday plus every other Wednesday. People who can work from home, do.
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@antipodean I might write a piece about supply chain redundancy for an engineering publication. Any good case studies? I'm guessing most examples are from military procurement?
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@Tim said in Potential Positives to Look forward to:
@antipodean I might write a piece about supply chain redundancy for an engineering publication. Any good case studies? I'm guessing most examples are from military procurement?
From what I can recall, there's almost no genuine redundancy in Defence procurement. Tenders are generally awarded to one winning bid who divide the deliverables amongst the parties. What they do tend to do is procure meaningful amounts and store them. Thankfully most of the equipment has a good shelf life.
I think even ration pack production comes from numerous companies responsible for certain elements unless someone knows better.
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saw an article on Stuff earlier where our MOH claimed they were confident we still hadnt had any community spread yet...not sure how they can be that confident though!
INteresting chat with an Islander in the past couple of days, we were talking covid and got onto Kiwisaver and when I mentioned loads of people losing money, he thought it was because the Govt. was taking the money to pay for things in this crisis...I thought wow, really...
turns out, he aint the only one
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/120439056/the-government-isnt-stealing-from-your-kiwisaver-account
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French and English unions have to buy out their bankrupt clubs. Finally control back in their hands and international rugby becomes the centrepiece. Wage pressure falls. NZ rugby players play their rugby in NZ.
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@antipodean said in Potential Positives to Look forward to:
How much are you prepared to give in additional tax revenue to do that? Serious question because what you're suggesting is not a trivial undertaking. Better I'd suggest to attempt an increased stockpile, but even then you can't predict what you're going to need...
That’s an interesting question. But it’s a political one, not an economic one. In the longer run, by which in this case I mean longer than one electoral cycle, the costs of setting up sunk cost manufacturing may be dwarfed by the cost of having to carry an entire economy in times like this. How much additional tax is going to be paid to cover the $12.1bn that Robertson underwrote this week? And by whom, because it’s a fair bet some people’s jobs aren’t coming back after this.
In my opinion a sensible government would sell that the need to insulate ourselves against future epidemic shocks is worth subsidising an onshore capability. But the temptation to dismantle it later would be strong, in the same way that it was all too easy to gut our military to save money.
Unfortunately there aren’t really any free rides and being able to protect ourselves is an obligation. The fact it is expensive on a per capita basis is the price we pay for enjoying the benefits of a tiny, isolated population.
Time to grow up, we need to decide what’s important to us, accept it costs money, and prioritise our spending. Put the Shane Jones slush fund towards it for a start.
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@Salacious-Crumb said in Potential Positives to Look forward to:
@canefan said in Potential Positives to Look forward to:
I don't know what the odds are for a diabetic. I'd imagine if she is otherwise fit and healthy and not elderly she is pretty safe. Weak tickers and bad lungs along with general poor health are worse
The CDC study of the first 44,000 in China put the mortality rate for diabetes at 7.4%. It’s right there with heart & lung disease. They don’t break down the difference(s) between Type 1 and Type 2, but it is a chronic auto-immune disease, Type 1 especially.
Although this is the positives thread, I want more data around this, I.e., how old were those people with diabetes? I'd like to see more of s breakdown if anyone finds more data post it up.
Cheers
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@Tim said in Potential Positives to Look forward to:
Well, this should be an absolute nail in the coffin for the "healthy at any size" bullshit.
More than 75% had high blood pressure, about 35% had diabetes and a third suffered from heart disease.
Shaddup shaddup shaddup
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@booboo I have met patients with insulin dependent diabetes. They can be and often are fit and healthy, they lack the hormone and as long as they get insulin no problem. It does not reflect on their lifestyle choices and whether or not they take care of their diet, fitness etc. In contrast non-insulin dependent diabetes is more often a disease of excess. These people often look older and more worn than their age suggests. Often obese. Many smoke. Unfit. Often older as opposed to the insulin dependent group who can be any age. I would assume they are the riskier group
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My wife is Type 1 (juvenile diabetes) insulin-dependent, has been since she was 12. Wouldn’t wish it on anybody. She is compulsively on top of it, thankfully, has a super-healthy diet, counts every carb, works out and is super-fit. We know (knew, sadly) Type 1s who didn’t take care of themselves in their 20s partied their asses off, were generally in denial about their condition, and sadly died too young in their early thirties. It’s serious stuff. (And she’s terrified.)
Potential Positives to Look forward to