Extreme Weather
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@dogmeat yeah it aint looking good on one of the models I have seen....will be pretty intense amount of rainfall from monday AM, no doubt accompanied by alot of wind unlike the last one.
The time you want them to get it very wrong...
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@MajorRage Sorry I didn't make it clear.
My brother's neighbour was the old guy who had the knife at his throat. Presumably by the same gang who turned over all the other (vacant) properties.
I have heard reports of the same thing happening in other parts of Auckland.
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@dogmeat yep, shitbags are out in force the past year or 2....our community page is always mentioning suspicious vehicles, people coming onto properties at night, most opportunistic, but doesnt take much for it to escalate either...
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I don't like the look of Gabrielle here
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@Stargazer said in Extreme Weather:
I don't like the look of Gabrielle here
That model seems to show it very slow over NZ ... which is sub-optimal.
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@booboo yea it moves pretty fast down from Aus then slows down over NZ...
The current modelling, which I hope is wrong, does not look good at all.
Is a bit of a worry, especially professionally...we recently had a webinar with a major insurer going through some of the claims in Auckland, some big numbers gonna come out of it and this is gonna make things worse.
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@taniwharugby weather related insurance costs look like they're on an exponential curve. It's damn scary... Climate change is a real trend with time
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@nzzp yeah the Auckland event alone is looking like being NZs highest weather event, and only behind the 2 EQs for any events in NZ
Add in the inflationary pressures already out there in construction, shortage of tradies, and then throw a fucking Cyclone into the mix...already high property insurance costs in NZ are gonna go up, more, again...
I expect at some point, the off-shore re-insurers will limit some of the coverage they offer in NZ (similar to parts of Aus where there is no cover for some flood events)
Makes me wonder how people get on living in the US Mid-West / Tornado alley!
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don't take this the wrong way but
it's been raining here since before christmas. we've now had 2 sunny days in a row. Cheers Gab
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Stunning day here today, brilliant blue sky at moment.
Nek minut, this cyclone sounds worse by the day...some predictions the worst storm to hit us this century.
Need this high sitting over NZ now to man up and stay put forcing Gabrielle out into the pacific!
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@taniwharugby said in Extreme Weather:
some predictions the worst storm to hit us this century.
The tracking seems to be most likely to be heading east of the coutnry - but slow moving. May still be a nightmare, but it isn't a direct hit thankfully. Media going nuts - but the reality is we still don't know.
Crossed fingers it isn't bad ... but we're preparing anyway.
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@nzzp yeah a couple of tracking models do see it being slightly further east than yesterday and wind speeds look to have dropped too when it gets to NZ.
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@taniwharugby Met Service guy on radio within the last hour was very conservative about it dropping in intensity. said it might drop over the 36 hours but was also just as likely to intensify as it hits NZ.
Does appear to be tracking more over BOP and East Cape but said winds of 90-120 knots can be expected up to 140km from epicentre and rain still in the order of a month's worth in 24 hours within that area. So effectively Northland, Auckland Coromandel BOP, Gisborne Hawkes Bay at risk.
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@taniwharugby said in Extreme Weather:
Brynderwyns ain't gonna be open anytime soon
Whilst not Brynderwins, is looking a fuck load worse today
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@nzzp yeah seems to change path from cruising by the east coast to come right over us...definitely alot of worried people about...supposed to hit NOrfolk tomorrow, hopefully the expected drop to cat 2 by then happens and then keeps weakening...
Professional weather forecast
