So what did we learn from Bled2?
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@BerniesCorner said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@Chris-B Jeez I'd put money down on 10% . We now have a front row remember; and a 12
I reckon we're going to have to win three tough play-off games to win RWC. First one almost certainly Ireland or SA. The Irish have won three of their last four against us so they might figure we've only got a 25 percent chance of beating them - Jaaps I think we're 2-2 against.
But, I'm giving us a 50-50 rule-of-thumb chance for each of the play-off games.
Which I think is 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 - 12.5% chance of winning all three.
(Actually, that's one in eight - starters chance).
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@Chris-B said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@BerniesCorner said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@Chris-B Jeez I'd put money down on 10% . We now have a front row remember; and a 12
I reckon we're going to have to win three tough play-off games to win RWC. First one almost certainly Ireland or SA. The Irish have won three of their last four against us so they might figure we've only got a 25 percent chance of beating them - Jaaps I think we're 2-2 against.
But, I'm giving us a 50-50 rule-of-thumb chance for each of the play-off games.
Which I think is 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 - 12.5% chance of winning all three.
(Actually, that's one in eight - starters chance).
Isn't it the case that we may end up with an 'easy' semi? eg Wales or Australia if we win our quarter? It would be a risk, and I would never want us to deliberately lose but losing the opening game against France could help us in the long run.
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@ACT-Crusader said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@nzzp said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@ACT-Crusader said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@nzzp said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@Victor-Meldrew said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
teams who've analysed his play at 12 first
knowing something is coming and doing something about it are two very different things. Big body running straight is a key rugby requirement at the top level. Then if they doubleteam/stack a defence, space is created elsewhere.
Bring it on, JB at 12, Hayman at 8, 2023 is ours
Dagg to 10 and Messam to centre. Mealamu to openside
*Messum
5- Jordie
6- Lomu
7- Mealamu
8- Hayman
9- Cruden
10- Dagg12- Ardie
13- MessamDMac as reserve halfback?
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@ACT-Crusader said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@nzzp said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@ACT-Crusader said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@nzzp said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@Victor-Meldrew said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
teams who've analysed his play at 12 first
knowing something is coming and doing something about it are two very different things. Big body running straight is a key rugby requirement at the top level. Then if they doubleteam/stack a defence, space is created elsewhere.
Bring it on, JB at 12, Hayman at 8, 2023 is ours
Dagg to 10 and Messam to centre. Mealamu to openside
*Messum
5- Jordie
6- Lomu
7- Mealamu
8- Hayman
9- Cruden
10- Dagg12- Ardie
13- MessamArdie and Messam at 12,13 Cruden at 9? Starting to sound like a league team
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@Crucial said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@ACT-Crusader said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@nzzp said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@ACT-Crusader said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@nzzp said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
@Victor-Meldrew said in So what did we learn from Bled2?:
teams who've analysed his play at 12 first
knowing something is coming and doing something about it are two very different things. Big body running straight is a key rugby requirement at the top level. Then if they doubleteam/stack a defence, space is created elsewhere.
Bring it on, JB at 12, Hayman at 8, 2023 is ours
Dagg to 10 and Messam to centre. Mealamu to openside
*Messum
5- Jordie
6- Lomu
7- Mealamu
8- Hayman
9- Cruden
10- Dagg12- Ardie
13- MessamDMac as reserve halfback?
I was going to put Ben Blair as halfback, but didn’t want to trigger some of the haters in here
