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<p><a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='https://electionbettingodds.com/brexit.html'>https://electionbettingodds.com/brexit.html</a></p>
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Tim" data-cid="591042" data-time="1466734607">
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<p>Yeah, he did qualify his predictions by saying that his model might be completely wrong though.</p>
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<p> </p>
<p>Heaps of returns to come in from the more progressive southern counties and London, so I'm surprised that his model is so firm on leave. Apparently JP Morgan's model leaning to leave, as well.</p>
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<p>Scots doubtless thinking that if they leave they'll be stuck alone with the English! :)</p>
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<p>My "model" is sticking with "remain" by a narrow margin.</p> -
<p>Starting to look like leave is going to win this.</p>
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<p>That Liz Hurley tweet may have swung the vote towards leave :man_in_love:</p>
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<p>lead getting bigger....</p>
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote">
<p> </p>
<p>In places like the south Wales valleys (traditional Labour heartlands), leave is sweeping the board. Cardiff is expected to vote to stay but it’s been a miserable night in Wales for the remain campaign. <strong>Ironically, some of the places that have received the most EU funding over the years because of their economic problems have voted most strongly to leave.</strong></p>
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Tim" data-cid="591048" data-time="1466735042">
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<p><a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='https://electionbettingodds.com/brexit.html'>https://electionbettingodds.com/brexit.html</a></p>
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<p>Up to 85.3% leave now as Sheffield comes in for leave.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="hydro11" data-cid="591059" data-time="1466736654">
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<p><strong>Up to 85.3% leave </strong>now as Sheffield comes in for leave.</p>
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<p>so not even close then....</p> -
<p>My Scottish brothers want to stay in.</p>
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="No Quarter" data-cid="591062" data-time="1466736884">
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<p>My Scottish brothers want to stay in.</p>
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<p> </p>
<p>And if it ends up being a Brexit, Scotland might reasonably argue the grounds for another referendum/neverendum.</p>
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<p>Just seen Virgil's post: unfortunately Cameron probably should - leave the mess to the gleeful blonde man-child to clean up.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Hooroo" data-cid="591065" data-time="1466737261">
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<p>The writing is on the wall but I keep expecting greater London to come and save the day but I can't see a cape anywhere!</p>
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<p>Judging by the BBC map, quite a few of those electorates are in.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="taniwharugby" data-cid="591061" data-time="1466736831">
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<p>so not even close then....</p>
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<p>Sorry my run on sentence may have been confusing. Leave has a 90% chance of winning now according to that link but it is still close.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="MajorRage" data-cid="591004" data-time="1466732243"><p>This is absolutely mental. Indexes/futures swinging 3% on silly results, The sterling is moving 1% in a second. I've worked through the GFC and I can't remember panic swings like the last 90 minutes.<br>
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Unbelievable. This could be a f'ing disaster.<br>
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EDIT: Yes I have. days following Japan earthquake</p></blockquote>
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To be fair volumes appear to be very thin. It'll be interesting to see how it shakes out when European markets come back on line. In the meantime there's been good money to be made since midday-ish.
Brexit