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RWC Draw

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RWC Draw
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  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    wrote on last edited by
    #257

    Pools A and B will be decided after day 3 of the competition as the big games are first up.

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  • boobooB Do not disturb
    boobooB Do not disturb
    booboo
    replied to Bovidae on last edited by
    #258

    @bovidae said in RWC Draw:

    So using the current WR rankings:
    Pool A has Ireland (2), Scotland (7), Japan (11), Samoa (16), Russia (19)
    Pool B has NZ (1), South Africa (5), Italy (14), Canada (21), Namibia (23)
    Pool C has England (4), France (8), Argentina (9), Tonga (12), USA (13)
    Pool D has Wales (3), Australia (6), Fiji (10), Georgia (15), Uruguay (18)

    There will likely be some changes in rankings by Sept next year.

    Based on rankings that's not a bad result looking at the top two seeds in each pool: still one in each from top four ranked, plus one in each from teams 5-8.

    BovidaeB taniwharugbyT 2 Replies Last reply
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  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    replied to booboo on last edited by Bovidae
    #259

    @booboo said in RWC Draw:

    Based on rankings that's not a bad result looking at the top two seeds in each pool: still one in each from top four ranked, plus one in each from teams 5-8.

    That is due to the bands used for the draw in determining the pools (in May 2017), even if some of the rankings have changed, i.e., Aust and Wales have swapped bands but fortunately ended up in the same pool.

    0_1543027887520_Screen Shot 2018-11-24 at 15.50.30.png

    boobooB 1 Reply Last reply
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  • boobooB Do not disturb
    boobooB Do not disturb
    booboo
    replied to Bovidae on last edited by
    #260

    @bovidae said in RWC Draw:

    @booboo said in RWC Draw:

    Based on rankings that's not a bad result looking at the top two seeds in each pool: still one in each from top four ranked, plus one in each from teams 5-8.

    That is due to the bands used for the draw in determining the pools (in May 2017), even if some of the rankings have changed, i.e., Aust and Wales have swapped bands but fortunately ended up in the same pool.

    0_1543027887520_Screen Shot 2018-11-24 at 15.50.30.png

    Yeah realise the bands. It was kind of my point.

    BovidaeB 1 Reply Last reply
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  • sparkyS Offline
    sparkyS Offline
    sparky
    wrote on last edited by
    #261

    The winner of the All Blacks - Springboks game in the Opening weekend will be the favourite to win the rest of the tournament. For what it is worth, I think the Final will also feature the Old Foes.

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  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    replied to booboo on last edited by
    #262

    @booboo I think it has been good luck rather than good management. If SA moves up one place then our group would have 2 teams ranked 1-4 and another pool have 2 teams ranked 5-8. That could happen by Sep next year. WR still insists on allocating pools so far out from the start of the RWC. FIFA doesn't.

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  • taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    replied to booboo on last edited by
    #263

    @booboo said in RWC Draw:

    @bovidae said in RWC Draw:

    So using the current WR rankings:
    Pool A has Ireland (2), Scotland (7), Japan (11), Samoa (16), Russia (19)
    Pool B has NZ (1), South Africa (5), Italy (14), Canada (21), Namibia (23)
    Pool C has England (4), France (8), Argentina (9), Tonga (12), USA (13)
    Pool D has Wales (3), Australia (6), Fiji (10), Georgia (15), Uruguay (18)

    There will likely be some changes in rankings by Sept next year.

    Based on rankings that's not a bad result looking at the top two seeds in each pool: still one in each from top four ranked, plus one in each from teams 5-8.

    totally meaningless, but....

    Pool A total rank = 55 (ave 11)
    Pool B total rank = 64 (ave 12.8)
    Pool C total rank = 46 (ave 9.2)
    Pool D total rank = 52 (ave 10.4)

    SnowyS 1 Reply Last reply
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  • SnowyS Offline
    SnowyS Offline
    Snowy
    replied to taniwharugby on last edited by
    #264

    @taniwharugby Ha. I did that as well.

    Having either SA in our pool is based on them being at 5, which is bollocks.

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  • L Offline
    L Offline
    LABCAT
    replied to Nevorian on last edited by
    #265

    @nevorian said in RWC Draw:

    my expected "upsets" would include Japan beating Scotland, Argentina beating France

    What about Wales beating Australia? or is that no longer considered an upset?

    KirwanK antipodeanA 2 Replies Last reply
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  • KirwanK Offline
    KirwanK Offline
    Kirwan
    replied to LABCAT on last edited by
    #266

    @labcat said in RWC Draw:

    @nevorian said in RWC Draw:

    my expected "upsets" would include Japan beating Scotland, Argentina beating France

    What about Wales beating Australia? or is that no longer considered an upset?

    Nope.

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  • antipodeanA Offline
    antipodeanA Offline
    antipodean
    replied to LABCAT on last edited by
    #267

    @labcat said in RWC Draw:

    @nevorian said in RWC Draw:

    my expected "upsets" would include Japan beating Scotland, Argentina beating France

    What about Wales beating Australia? or is that no longer considered an upset?

    That was three playing seven on rankings.

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  • Billy TellB Offline
    Billy TellB Offline
    Billy Tell
    wrote on last edited by
    #268

    I must say, it is almost refreshing not to go into a RWC year with NZ as clear favourite, having beaten all and sundry and scooped every award on offer at the annual World Rugby awards.

    Because we don't play any NH teams before the RWC, no-one will take too much notice of victories over SA, Aust and Argentina. Nor Tonga.

    Ireland has just bought themselves a whole new level of pressure to cope with: favourites, world's best side, never reached semi-final, Schmidt due to move on etc...

    HoorooH rotatedR 2 Replies Last reply
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  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    replied to Billy Tell on last edited by
    #269

    @billy-tell said in RWC Draw:

    I must say, it is almost refreshing not to go into a RWC year with NZ as clear favourite, having beaten all and sundry and scooped every award on offer at the annual World Rugby awards.

    Because we don't play any NH teams before the RWC, no-one will take too much notice of victories over SA, Aust and Argentina. Nor Tonga.

    Ireland has just bought themselves a whole new level of pressure to cope with: favourites, world's best side, never reached semi-final, Schmidt due to move on etc...

    Assuming we win all our pool games, where would we meet Ireland if they also won all their pool games?

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  • taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    wrote on last edited by taniwharugby
    #270

    @hooroo if both teams win, we would meet in the final, if we drop a game to SA we play them in the 1/4 (assuming SA dont drop a game to anyone else in our pool)

    Was listening to something yesterday and they were saying outside of NZ, there is no player still playing who has won a RWC before, which is understandable given it could only be a SA form the 2007 squad.

    Billy TellB 1 Reply Last reply
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  • rotatedR Offline
    rotatedR Offline
    rotated
    replied to Billy Tell on last edited by
    #271

    @billy-tell said in RWC Draw:

    Because we don't play any NH teams before the RWC, no-one will take too much notice of victories over SA, Aust and Argentina. Nor Tonga.

    The ABs stock won't change from now until the RWC unless they lose the Bledisloe next year. Everything else can be explained away by RWC prep. They lost two on the trot going into 2011 and still entered as hot favourites.

    Ireland still have to navigate the 6N a tournament and those results do matter. If they go 2-3 and Wales or England win it the landscape changes somewhat.

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  • Billy TellB Offline
    Billy TellB Offline
    Billy Tell
    replied to taniwharugby on last edited by Billy Tell
    #272

    @taniwharugby said in RWC Draw:

    @hooroo if both teams win, we would meet in the final, if we drop a game to SA we play them in the 1/4 (assuming SA dont drop a game to anyone else in our pool)

    Assuming Ireland don't lose to Scotland or Japan. Just saying...

    taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
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  • taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    replied to Billy Tell on last edited by
    #273

    @billy-tell Ireland winning thier pool is already set in stone.

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  • RapidoR Offline
    RapidoR Offline
    Rapido
    wrote on last edited by
    #274

    Shaping up as a great tournament potentially.

    6 teams have reason to be confident, that includes Scotland who all though a stretch to win are a good chance to ruin 1 or 2 (or no) parties for others. Or get knocked out in the pool.

    RapidoR Billy TellB 2 Replies Last reply
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  • RapidoR Offline
    RapidoR Offline
    Rapido
    replied to Rapido on last edited by
    #275

    @rapido said in RWC Draw:

    Shaping up as a great tournament potentially.

    6 teams have reason to be confident, that includes Scotland who all though a stretch to win are a good chance to ruin 1 or 2 (or no) parties for others. Or get knocked out in the pool.

    Reminds me a bit of 1995 which had 5 quite even contenders with uncertainty over who was rising and who was on the descent.

    boobooB 1 Reply Last reply
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  • boobooB Do not disturb
    boobooB Do not disturb
    booboo
    replied to Rapido on last edited by
    #276

    @rapido and NZ not the favourite

    HoorooH 1 Reply Last reply
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