NPC - Premiership remaining matches
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Team Points Game 9 Game 10 Auckland 30 Northland (H) Canterbury (A) Tasman 29 Canterbury (H) Otago (A) Waikato 27 BOP (H) Northland (A) Wellington 24 Hawkes Bay (A) Manawatu (H) BOP 21 Waikato (A) Harbour (H) Harbour 20 Counties (H) BOP (A) Canterbury 19 Tasman (A) Auckland (H)
Auckland
It's not impossible for Northland to upset Auckland, however Auckland would be confident of 5 points at home. Auckland may rest some guys who have had a large workload (Scrafton, Choat)If Tasman and Waikato lose their 9th games then Auckland finish top even if they don't beat Canterbury
Tasman
On form they beat Canterbury
Otago away is looking more tricky than it did a few weeks agoWaikato
BOP game massively important. They may earn a home semi if other results go their way.
Must be confident of 5 points against Northland in the last weekWellington
The only side with 2 championship teams remaining. Need to win both to be safe in the top 4BOP
Not favourites for either match. A chance of squeezing into the top four or relegation.Harbour
Two awkward games but they should be favourites for both with that pack. The problem is they'll be chasing a bonus point in both. 30 points might be enough to scrape into the semisCanterbury
Two tough matches. They'll be more confident at home in the last game. -
Everything should be a little clearer after the next round.
The fact that BOP and NH play each other in the final round makes the permutations all the more interesting from Canterbury's perspective.
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The most competitive Premiership comp to date.
Top 4, 1st place and relegation will likely not be sorted until the last week, which is only good for the comp.
Whoever finishes at the top of the table will be hoping Harbour doesn't slide into that last semifinal spot.
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You obviously don’t think Wellington has a chance. 😜
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@Canes4life said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
You obviously don’t think Wellington has a chance. 😜
I looked at that draw and thought Wellington was well placed
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@Canes4life said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
You obviously don’t think Wellington has a chance. 😜
Oops
Added
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@Duluth Haha no worries, the way they played on Saturday I don't think they will be competing for a title anyway. They should miss relegation aswell.
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@Canes4life said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
the way they played on Saturday I don't think they will be competing for a title anyway
All the contenders look flawed
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I think if Northland were to win either of thier last 2 matches, it is v Waikato, not Auckland...we just seem to have a mental block playing Auckland, no matter how we are playing, we get pumped.
The match v Waikato is in Kaikohe too, so that will be an experience for them!
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I can see the headline now, Canterbury snags a finals spot after consecutive bonus point victories over Money Bags and Orcs.
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They should offer odds on relegation
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Surprisingly attractive odds for Counties Manukau, Canterbury, BOP and Hawkes Bay. I expect all of them to be much closer than the odds suggest.
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@Tim $23 seems a bit lean for the Bay given what we have to do to even get in the top 4, not to mention getting thumped by the 3 favourites already.
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It's a pretty tight comp where the bottom of the table with two rounds to go can still win the comp
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The Waikato v BoP game is huge
Shame about the silly schedule.. it’s on at the same time as the shield match
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@Duluth Yep, that could set up the NH/BOP game to decide a semifinal, and relegate Canterbury.
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@Duluth said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
The Waikato v BoP game is huge
Shame about the silly schedule.. it’s on at the same time as the shield match
You can blame Canterbury for that too!
If Wellington pulls off the upset tomorrow there will be more twists and turns.
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@Bovidae Yeah, the formula for Cantab relegation is zero points for them tonight, four for BOP, and one for Wellington.
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@Tim BOP can get their 4 pts next week.
Tasman haven't got the memo so far.
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@Bovidae Yeah, they look gash.
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| Team | Points | Game 10 |
|-------------------|--------|----------------|----------------|
| Auckland | 34 | Canterbury (A) |
| Tasman | 29 | Otago (A) |
| Waikato | 29 | Northland (A) |
| BOP | 26 | Harbour (H) |
| Harbour | 25 | BOP (A) |
| Canterbury | 24 | Auckland (H) |
| Wellington | 24 | Manawatu (H) | -
@Duluth said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
| Team | Points | Game 10 |
|-------------------|--------|----------------|----------------|
| Auckland | 34 | Canterbury (A) |
| Tasman | 29 | Otago (A) |
| Waikato | 29 | Northland (A) |
| BOP | 26 | Harbour (H) |
| Harbour | 25 | BOP (A) |
| Canterbury | 24 | Auckland (H) |
| Wellington | 24 | Manawatu (H) |So BOP and Harbour battle out a non-bonus point draw, the Poo miraculously beat Welly and to top it off we beat Auckland with a bonus point to steal a finals spot 😉
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@ACT-Crusader said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
So BOP and Harbour battle out a non-bonus point draw, the Poo miraculously beat Welly and to top it off we beat Auckland with a bonus point to steal a finals spot 😉
That would be a regular time draw and no points in the 20mins of extra time? Easy!
You should get some good odds on a Canterbury title now
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@Duluth said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
@ACT-Crusader said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
So BOP and Harbour battle out a non-bonus point draw, the Poo miraculously beat Welly and to top it off we beat Auckland with a bonus point to steal a finals spot 😉
That would be a regular time draw and no points in the 20mins of extra time? Easy!
You should get some good odds on a Canterbury title now
Miracles can come true!
Alternatively Canterbury beat Auckland by 30 and Harbour beats BOP 6-5! We are through.
Dare to believe.
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@ACT-Crusader said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
@Duluth said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
@ACT-Crusader said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
So BOP and Harbour battle out a non-bonus point draw, the Poo miraculously beat Welly and to top it off we beat Auckland with a bonus point to steal a finals spot 😉
That would be a regular time draw and no points in the 20mins of extra time? Easy!
You should get some good odds on a Canterbury title now
Miracles can come true!
Alternatively Canterbury beat Auckland by 30 and Harbour beats BOP 6-5! We are through.
Dare to believe.
If the Harbour v Bop match goes that way Auckland might throw the match to get an easy semi final
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Auckland will have to beat Canterbury or they could consign NH to relegation. The loser of BOP vs NH can still be in trouble.
I am assuming Wellington is good enough to beat the Poo.
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Whoever is eventually relegated would almost set a record for number of wins/competition points, yet still custard..,
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Anyone could get relegated the only team in the clear is auckland
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@frazzerbazzer said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
Anyone could get relegated the only team in the clear is auckland
The tie breaker will be the winner of the Round Robin match played between the two teams. For example, Tasman would finish ahead of Wellington, and Waikato would finish ahead of both Canterbury and Wellington if they all ended up on 29 pts.
With no draws there has to be a winner and a loser in each game. That makes JGB's fuckup against Canterbury even more important now if those two teams ended up on the same points.
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@frazzerbazzer said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
Anyone could get relegated the only team in the clear is auckland
I think Tasman and Waikato are safe.
I don't think there's any way that both Harbour and BoP can get to 29 points, is there?
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@Chris-B said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
@frazzerbazzer said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
Anyone could get relegated the only team in the clear is auckland
I think Tasman and Waikato are safe.
I don't think there's any way that both Harbour and BoP can get to 29 points, is there?
I didn't think this was possible either, but somehow the sporting gods find a way
@Chris-B said in Tasman v Canterbury:
Tasman 33 BoP 7
BoP 44 Canterbury 8
Canterbury 29 Tasman 0FFS!!!!
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@Duluth Auckland will probably send a B team down south anyway given they have already secured home semi (and home final if they win semi) . They are pretty banged up at the moment
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@Nogusta said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
@Duluth Auckland will probably send a B team down south anyway given they have already secured home semi (and home final if they win semi) . They are pretty banged up at the moment
It's only Canterbury.
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@Kirwan said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
@Nogusta said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
@Duluth Auckland will probably send a B team down south anyway given they have already secured home semi (and home final if they win semi) . They are pretty banged up at the moment
It's only Canterbury.
Canterbury getting relegated in teh NPC would be the most 2020 thing ever. It's like all the weird retarded shit for a decade is being compressed in to about 8 months
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Waikato loss to BOP has earned Auckland the luxury of resting some of their troops next weekend. So I am expecting Canterbury to join other teams on 29 points if the others trip up. Hoping that BOP and Waikato do the business though, and there are no countbacks.
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The mighty Bay can finish 2nd and get a home semi-final or 7th and get relegated. If we're expecting Canterbury and Wellington to win then the Bay v Harbour game is going to be a titanic struggle with a semi-final for the winner and relegation for the loser.
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@KiwiPie said in NPC - Premiership remaining matches:
The mighty Bay can finish 2nd and get a home semi-final or 7th and get relegated. If we're expecting Canterbury and Wellington to win then the Bay v Harbour game is going to be a titanic struggle with a semi-final for the winner and relegation for the loser.
the relegated team is gonna be shitty that 5 wins doesn't guarantee safety, but 6 gets you a semi...
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As discussed above, Auckland is guaranteed to finish 1st and along with Tasman and Waikato, are the only teams that can't be relegated. The rest of the placings (#2-7) are up for grabs.
As Canterbury hosts Auckland in the final match of the round robin they will know what they need to do to make the SFs or avoid relegation.
