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Mixed Evening for Johnson. The Brexit withdrawal Bill got through on its second reading by more than 20 votes meaning it is likely to become law.
But he lost the programme motion. Meaning there will be more than three days debate before the third reading. MPs can try to amend it or put in place short term delays. An October 31st Brexit looks very unlikely.
Johnson has pulled the bill until he knows what sort of extension the EU will grant.
Johnson would love a General Election.
I think more likely is that the EU will grant only a limited extension. The debate will start up again in Parliament, the Withdrawal Bill will get through by the end of November with only minor amendments and the UK will be out of the EU by late November.
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If parliament has plenty of time to add amendments then what will result is either something the ERG won't vote for (Customs Union, second referendum) or something the EU won't accept (no customs border down the Irish Sea) and we're back to square one. Parliament are taking the piss here.
Hopefully as @sparky says it'll be a short 1 month extension just to get the legislation through unamended, then we leave Nov 30th and have an election mid-December.
Johnson has been considering a 1-line bill about an early election to get around the 2/3rds majority needed under the Fixed Term Parliament Act. Ken Clarke in the press this morning saying if he proposed that bill, he'd add an amendment to give 16-17 year olds the vote.
Amazing how much an obstructive prick you can be when not worrying about re-election (cc: Greaves, Letwin et al).
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Tusk has pretty much so said he's prepared to extend. EU don't want to be seen to the one that caused no-deal. So that's pretty much so a done deal.
Johnson will be gungho for election, and Corbyn, if a man of his word, should agree and we should be off to the races.
Haha, yeah right.
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@MajorRage said in Brexit:
Tusk has pretty much so said he's prepared to extend. EU don't want to be seen to the one that caused no-deal. So that's pretty much so a done deal.
Johnson will be gungho for election, and Corbyn, if a man of his word, should agree and we should be off to the races.
Haha, yeah right.
I get the impression that Corbyn is now backpedalling on an election.
Is that an incorrect impression?Corbyn has everything he stated he wanted before committing to an election, so surely he'd be raring to go?
Johnson seems ready... -
Why are potential Labor leaders so paralyzed? Even most Labor voters accept that Corbyn is a sitting duck and while he seems to be winning daily procedural skirmishes its difficult to envisage how he wins an election regardless of how Brexit plays out (revoke, remain, 2nd refferendum, Brexit successfully) all end in Labor nowhere near power.
The writing is on the wall with the second reading vote. Better to make Corbyn the sacrificial lamb and put some clear air between Labor and Brexit.
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@rotated I’d guess because at the top end they live in a socialist paradise echo chamber and further down the line why create turmoil in your own party when you see the conservatives as imploding? (though I actually think matters are now improving for the tories).
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Why are potential Labor leaders so paralyzed? Even most Labor voters accept that Corbyn is a sitting duck and while he seems to be winning daily procedural skirmishes its difficult to envisage how he wins an election regardless of how Brexit plays out (revoke, remain, 2nd refferendum, Brexit successfully) all end in Labor nowhere near power.
The writing is on the wall with the second reading vote. Better to make Corbyn the sacrificial lamb and put some clear air between Labor and Brexit.
Mostly because Momentum have captured and cowed a great many of the local electorate committees and the NEC. They act as a praetorian guard for Corbyn. But they’re also an ideologically purist Trotskyite faction who would rather back the likeminded Corbyn and lose than compromise, and they’re not about to let anybody else compromise either. Labour is stuck with Corbyn until he decides he will go.
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What!? What?!!! They're delaying the decision on the delay!?
https://news.sky.com/story/eu-delays-brexit-extension-decision-11844673
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@Rembrandt
More brinkmanship. Agree a GE or else we'll keep our toys. But will they? -
Have I got this right?
They can't progress on the deal as parliament is blocking it.
A GE can't be called until Labour agrees to it.
Labour will never agree to it as they will be destroyed.
Now the EU are delaying their decision on an extension.This all just seems like a way to delay brexit indefinitely.
Boris has done his legal duty and asked for an extension, I say call everyone's bluff stick with your promise and leave with no-deal on the 31st, at this point you could even blame Labour for the decision.
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@Rembrandt just as a matter of interest, what makes you think Labour would get destroyed? I’m expecting the right to get punished - and they probably deserve to - for presiding over this circus like a bunch of self-serving, backstabbing chancers. No party can claim to have acted consistently in the best interests of the country on this one. Both sides deserve to get flogged and I’m not convinced the supporters will turn out in great numbers to vote for their opponents but they probably, like me, don’t feel much like encouraging more of this shit either. I reckon turn out will be low and it’s anybody’s game. For the record I’ll vote Tory because I think voting is a duty, but I’ll feel shit doing it.
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@JC That's a good point. Neither side have covered themselves in glory. The impression I get from my UK friends is that they are sick to death of Brexit talk and want it done, Boris seems to be the only one who wants to get it done and done fast, whereas Corbyn has flip flopped on where he stands and seems to be avoiding a GE at all costs.Polls seem to back that up but if Labour and Libdems were to somehow make peace that might change.
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@MajorRage said in Brexit:
to
This election is Boris vs Corbyn. If JC wins, I leave.
Along with about a third of the population and 90% of the money.
Brexit