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@Paekakboyz given people can come to NZ, they just need to go through Quarantine....I mean if you are a student here for a year, whats 14 days?
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@taniwharugby said in NZ Politics:
whats 14 days?
Might not be that for much longer. Thing on the news the other day that the virus might not show up for 20.6 days in an individual. I suppose the data is getting a bit more accurate now.
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@taniwharugby I was thinking the other entry requirements where loosening things even a bit would give you a much bigger pool of potential students.
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Latest Colmar Brunton poll. Labour 47, Nats 33, ACT 8, Greens 7, NZF 1.
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There is a very interesting hypothetical scenario setting up here (albeit unlikely). National edges a little further in the polls. Winston claws NZF back just above 5% (lets say rest homes are difficult to poll), and we end up with something resembling.
Labour 43
National 33
Greens 6
NZF 5
ACT 8In that scenario NZF would be the king maker yet again; but would be the second junior member regardless of which side NZF picked so they couldn't ask for the kingdom because Greens/ACT would be entitled to the kingdom plus a bit more. Labour would still remain the natural coalition partner for dozens of reasons (including if the Greens only want a C&S deal and not a formal coalition), but if Jacinda tried to plays hardball it could backfire.
These polls make a lot more sense than those at the outset of the campaign; but I still am scratching my head as to what the 15% of electorate who voted National/NZF/ACT at the last election who are now voting Labor/Greens are.
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@rotated more likely that with a 3% swing, the Greens don't make it back. This is not out of the question; if they don't get there, it would be a straight shootout between Nat+ACT and Lab. Right now that's 47 vs 41, so a 3% swing gets you neck and neck.
MMP is designed to avoid dominance by one party. Small parties always benefit from oxygen during the campaigns, but small parties in government suffer.
it's only one poll, but could be a closer election night than we think!
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@nzzp said in NZ Politics:
more likely that with a 3% swing, the Greens don't make it back.
we can only hope!
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@Kirwan said in NZ Politics:
@Hooroo said in NZ Politics:
I like David Seymour. He is just naturally so damn dry it makes you laugh. Seems quite intelligent
Easily the best opposition MP.
He's doing enough to get my party vote at the moment
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@Hooroo said in NZ Politics:
@Kirwan said in NZ Politics:
@Hooroo said in NZ Politics:
I like David Seymour. He is just naturally so damn dry it makes you laugh. Seems quite intelligent
Easily the best opposition MP.
He's doing enough to get my party vote at the moment
Same.
The most disappointing thing about National at the moment is not holding Labour to account enough.
Seymour has been doing a great job with that, a good example was pressing them on the illegal lockdown.
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@taniwharugby said in NZ Politics:
@nzzp said in NZ Politics:
more likely that with a 3% swing, the Greens don't make it back.
we can only hope!
not going to happen - it'll be a Labour led government of some form...you can get $16 on National leading the next government at Betfair for the tragic optimists amongst us
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@nzzp I read in an article that some National voters may vote strategically for Labour in the hope that the Greens dont get in...I wonder where this secret society is that collude in these scenarios to ensure the right numbers get over the line
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@taniwharugby said in NZ Politics:
@nzzp I read in an article that some National voters may vote strategically for Labour in the hope that the Greens dont get in...I wonder where this secret society is that collude in these scenarios to ensure the right numbers get over the line
Hopefully they are the ones polling in big numbers for labour at the moment only to switch on election day!
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Extra funding for Emergency Dental...sweet, more extractions and anti-biotics? Ambulance at the bottom of the cliff stuff!
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@taniwharugby The problem for any sitting government when they roll out announcements like this is that they always open themselves up to the question: it's a good idea, so why haven't you done it already?
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@JC said in NZ Politics:
@taniwharugby The problem for any sitting government when they roll out announcements like this is that they always open themselves up to the question: it's a good idea, so why haven't you done it already?
Assume that was rhetorical, but will answer anyway - because we weren't having an election and want to buy some votes.
The fact that we can't afford it seems to be irrelevant.
NZ Politics