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BOP Eruption?

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BOP Eruption?
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  • MajorRageM Offline
    MajorRageM Offline
    MajorRage
    replied to Siam on last edited by
    #64

    @Siam Cracking post. Agree entirely.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • V Offline
    V Offline
    Virgil
    wrote on last edited by
    #65

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    boobooB 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    wrote on last edited by
    #66

    The difference now is that it is a recovery mission whereas on Monday afternoon or maybe even Tuesday you could argue that a rescue was still in play. The mixed messages from GNS haven't been helpful either.

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • boobooB Offline
    boobooB Offline
    booboo
    replied to Siam on last edited by
    #67

    @Siam if there were lives in danger I'd agree with you.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • boobooB Offline
    boobooB Offline
    booboo
    replied to Virgil on last edited by
    #68

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    They're dead, they're not rescuing anyone.

    V 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • V Offline
    V Offline
    Virgil
    replied to booboo on last edited by
    #69

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    They're dead, they're not rescuing anyone.

    Tell that to the families of the missing.. sorry they are dead it’s not important to get them back

    Also I my point was from the very beginning, from what the pilots who landed on the island straight after the explosion said, no rescue services were going to actually rescue anyone. One pilot had to leave his co pilot behind so he could carry more injured, he was then told not to go back to get him.

    boobooB 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • boobooB Offline
    boobooB Offline
    booboo
    replied to Virgil on last edited by
    #70

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    They're dead, they're not rescuing anyone.

    Tell that to the families of the missing.. sorry they are dead it’s not important to get them back

    Also I my point was from the very beginning, from what the pilots who landed on the island straight after the explosion said, no rescue services were going to actually rescue anyone. One pilot had to leave his co pilot behind so he could carry more injured, he was then told not to go back to get him.

    I would, as the authorities are, not perhaps as harshly.

    I think you're conflating two issues. Whilst there are people alive I'm on board with the sentiment. There's not now.

    To only recover bodies at the risk of losing more lives is not a risk worth taking. Recovering the bodies will not bring them back. And the risk is certainly not worth it for some minor emotional benefit.

    V Baron Silas GreenbackB 2 Replies Last reply
    5
  • canefanC Offline
    canefanC Offline
    canefan
    wrote on last edited by canefan
    #71

    Baron's head will explode when he reads this one

    https://stuff.co.nz/national/118108396/we-should-reinstate-every-mori-place-name

    I was fine with the coverage so far, but this is the sort of agenda peddling drivel that crosses the line

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • V Offline
    V Offline
    Virgil
    replied to booboo on last edited by
    #72

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    They're dead, they're not rescuing anyone.

    Tell that to the families of the missing.. sorry they are dead it’s not important to get them back

    Also I my point was from the very beginning, from what the pilots who landed on the island straight after the explosion said, no rescue services were going to actually rescue anyone. One pilot had to leave his co pilot behind so he could carry more injured, he was then told not to go back to get him.

    I would, as the authorities are, not perhaps as harshly.

    I think you're conflating two issues. Whilst there are people alive I'm on board with the sentiment. There's not now.

    To only recover bodies at the risk of losing more lives is not a risk worth taking. Recovering the bodies will not bring them back. And the risk is certainly not worth it for some minor emotional benefit.

    The pilots who were there on Monday want to go back, they say they can retrieve the bodies in 20 minutes they know exactly where each body is. Let them go.

    Reading an article now on stuff ( I know I know)
    Great quote by one of Tony Smith a St John medic who attempted a rescue straight after the eruption..

    ‘Safety is never black and white, it’s always grey’

    HoorooH 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    replied to Virgil on last edited by
    #73

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    They're dead, they're not rescuing anyone.

    Tell that to the families of the missing.. sorry they are dead it’s not important to get them back

    Also I my point was from the very beginning, from what the pilots who landed on the island straight after the explosion said, no rescue services were going to actually rescue anyone. One pilot had to leave his co pilot behind so he could carry more injured, he was then told not to go back to get him.

    I would, as the authorities are, not perhaps as harshly.

    I think you're conflating two issues. Whilst there are people alive I'm on board with the sentiment. There's not now.

    To only recover bodies at the risk of losing more lives is not a risk worth taking. Recovering the bodies will not bring them back. And the risk is certainly not worth it for some minor emotional benefit.

    The pilots who were there on Monday want to go back, they say they can retrieve the bodies in 20 minutes they know exactly where each body is. Let them go.

    Reading an article now on stuff ( I know I know)
    Great quote by one of Tony Smith a St John medic who attempted a rescue straight after the eruption..

    ‘Safety is never black and white, it’s always grey’

    and what happens if at that time during the twenty mins (which is rubbish as it's not like you're picking up a couple of sticks) that the volcano goes off again? This morning they say there is a 40-60% chance of another spit within 24 hours. Flag that for a chance.

    They have hindsight already to go by. Why dismiss foresight with foolhardiness?

    Are the burns the patients are dying from, heat burns or Acid? The ph level of the contents of the lake there could dissolve a body I think. Imagine being covered in that.

    canefanC 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • canefanC Offline
    canefanC Offline
    canefan
    replied to Hooroo on last edited by
    #74

    @Hooroo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    They're dead, they're not rescuing anyone.

    Tell that to the families of the missing.. sorry they are dead it’s not important to get them back

    Also I my point was from the very beginning, from what the pilots who landed on the island straight after the explosion said, no rescue services were going to actually rescue anyone. One pilot had to leave his co pilot behind so he could carry more injured, he was then told not to go back to get him.

    I would, as the authorities are, not perhaps as harshly.

    I think you're conflating two issues. Whilst there are people alive I'm on board with the sentiment. There's not now.

    To only recover bodies at the risk of losing more lives is not a risk worth taking. Recovering the bodies will not bring them back. And the risk is certainly not worth it for some minor emotional benefit.

    The pilots who were there on Monday want to go back, they say they can retrieve the bodies in 20 minutes they know exactly where each body is. Let them go.

    Reading an article now on stuff ( I know I know)
    Great quote by one of Tony Smith a St John medic who attempted a rescue straight after the eruption..

    ‘Safety is never black and white, it’s always grey’

    and what happens if at that time during the twenty mins (which is rubbish as it's not like you're picking up a couple of sticks) that the volcano goes off again? This morning they say there is a 40-60% chance of another spit within 24 hours. Flag that for a chance.

    They have hindsight already to go by. Why dismiss foresight with foolhardiness?

    Are the burns the patients are dying from, heat burns or Acid? The ph level of the contents of the lake there could dissolve a body I think. Imagine being covered in that.

    I spoke to someone in the know and some of the worst injuries are inhalation based. Basically their lungs are burned up from the inside and that will never heal even if they survive. It means life will never be the same and probably a darn sight shorter now

    HoorooH 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    replied to canefan on last edited by
    #75

    @canefan said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Hooroo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    @booboo said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Virgil said in BOP Eruption?:

    Yep can you imagine if Dunkirk took place now, it would be endless press conferences and risk assessments.. experts telling us they will only go in if they can manage the risks..

    Back to White Island.. how the fuck can they manage the risk?... wait till it’s no longer an active volcano..

    It must be very tempting for those chopper pilots to go rogue and head out to the island anyway

    They're dead, they're not rescuing anyone.

    Tell that to the families of the missing.. sorry they are dead it’s not important to get them back

    Also I my point was from the very beginning, from what the pilots who landed on the island straight after the explosion said, no rescue services were going to actually rescue anyone. One pilot had to leave his co pilot behind so he could carry more injured, he was then told not to go back to get him.

    I would, as the authorities are, not perhaps as harshly.

    I think you're conflating two issues. Whilst there are people alive I'm on board with the sentiment. There's not now.

    To only recover bodies at the risk of losing more lives is not a risk worth taking. Recovering the bodies will not bring them back. And the risk is certainly not worth it for some minor emotional benefit.

    The pilots who were there on Monday want to go back, they say they can retrieve the bodies in 20 minutes they know exactly where each body is. Let them go.

    Reading an article now on stuff ( I know I know)
    Great quote by one of Tony Smith a St John medic who attempted a rescue straight after the eruption..

    ‘Safety is never black and white, it’s always grey’

    and what happens if at that time during the twenty mins (which is rubbish as it's not like you're picking up a couple of sticks) that the volcano goes off again? This morning they say there is a 40-60% chance of another spit within 24 hours. Flag that for a chance.

    They have hindsight already to go by. Why dismiss foresight with foolhardiness?

    Are the burns the patients are dying from, heat burns or Acid? The ph level of the contents of the lake there could dissolve a body I think. Imagine being covered in that.

    I spoke to someone in the know and some of the worst injuries are inhalation based. Basically their lungs are burned up from the inside and that will never heal even if they survive. It means life will never be the same and probably a darn sight shorter now

    I went to like your post as acknowledgment but it didn't seem right to. Need an unhappy face like Facebook

    Bloody awful for all involved.

    1 Reply Last reply
    7
  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    wrote on last edited by Hooroo
    #76

    Was just pondering.

    They had raised the warning level to level 2, days (weeks?) before the eruption and people kept turning up.

    It's not uncommon for Ruapehu to go to warning level 2. I wonder if they will evacuate ski fields if the warning reaches that now we can see the catastrophe

    CrucialC 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • CrucialC Offline
    CrucialC Offline
    Crucial
    replied to Hooroo on last edited by
    #77

    @Hooroo said in BOP Eruption?:

    Was just pondering.

    They had raised the warning level to level 2, days (weeks?) before the eruption and people kept turning up.

    It's not uncommon for Ruapehu to go to warning level 2. I wonder if they will evacuate ski fields if the warning reaches that now we can see the catastrophe

    Yeah, level 2 on Ruapehu does happen while the ski fields are open. From memory the advise there is just to not go to the Crater Lake.
    An eruption the size of the one the other day would certainly cause an evacuation of the ski fields but apart from the odd 'out of bounds' ski tourer the designated areas aren't in the line of fire.

    In 2009 during the Level 2 eruptions (with gas clouds going 8km into the atmosphere) the skiing was still operating. A 1km exclusion zone was around the crater.
    The eruption in 95, which was much bigger didn't touch the ski areas at all although a lahar came close at Whakapapa.
    Now there are lahar warning systems and drills are done regularly. Most regulars up there know the layer paths (they are mapped out) and during the drills guide everyone else to the 'safe' areas.

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • DonsteppaD Offline
    DonsteppaD Offline
    Donsteppa
    replied to Bovidae on last edited by Donsteppa
    #78

    @Bovidae said in BOP Eruption?:

    GNS appears to be the main advisors for police and the tour operators regarding risk assessment.

    The variability of volcanology seems a bit random as the science develops. On Monday it was theoretically okay to travel to the Island at an Alert Level 2 from GNS. Since Monday afternoon the eruption risk is now assessed at 40% - 60% and it's not okay to travel (relatively) briefly to the Island, even with no further eruptions since Monday. A nightmare either way for all involved in that decision.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • DonsteppaD Offline
    DonsteppaD Offline
    Donsteppa
    wrote on last edited by
    #79

    ... right on cue; the Alert Level has just been reduced back to Level 2. But now it isn't safe to visit........

    taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    replied to Donsteppa on last edited by
    #80

    @Donsteppa possibly due to the fact there are bodies still there?

    Site will need to be blessed by Iwi too I expect.

    DonsteppaD 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • DonsteppaD Offline
    DonsteppaD Offline
    Donsteppa
    replied to taniwharugby on last edited by
    #81

    @taniwharugby said in BOP Eruption?:

    @Donsteppa possibly due to the fact there are bodies still there?

    Site will need to be blessed by Iwi too I expect.

    Clarifying; I meant unsafe to visit the Island for body retrieval at Alert Level 2.

    taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    replied to Donsteppa on last edited by
    #82

    @Donsteppa given the science seems unreliable, seems very finger in the wind guesswork.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • V Offline
    V Offline
    Virgil
    wrote on last edited by
    #83

    If they had no idea it was going to erupt on Monday how can they be sure it will erupt again now.

    It’s an active volcano, I’d imagine no one at GNS wants to be the person to say yep your all good to go over now.

    antipodeanA boobooB 2 Replies Last reply
    0

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