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@baron-silas-greenback said in NZ Politics:
@dogmeat said in NZ Politics:
Despite all of the above comments there were a spate of features on the coalitions first year and almost all from various sources (even Hosking) were positive. In fact the most negative I read was from the heat of e tu.
Meanwhile St Cindy is rating as high as Key was at his peak and Labour have overtaken Nats.
the country at large seem more interested in baby Neve and Harry and whatever her name is than business confidence.
Nats have done well to hold their numbers at pretty much what they were on election night but they still remain without a coalition partner and should the gap to labour increase by say another 3 points it could all turn ugly.
I think we should expect another Labour term unless the economy goes into free fall. Kiwi's tend to give all but the most abject governments' at least six years and as above National still haven't addressed the issue that cost them the last election.
Hoping NF and / or the Greens implode so it becomes a two horse race is a pretty desperate strategy IMO and even if another partner were to emerge its more probable to be to their right and therefore likely to suck away their votes at least as much as Labours.
On what basis do you support the cliam that St Cindy is rating as high as Key was at his peak ?
Because that sounds like complete and utter made up bollox straight from the Labour PR dept.@dogmeat
Ok.. an article from 2011 says that key was on 55%, I think he was on at least 60% at one stage (edit : 59% apparently) . Arden is only on 42%... so you are only about 15-20% off....
Keys lowest preferred PM rating was 36.7%... and Ardern all time high is at 42%So yeah.. your claim is bollox.. in fact it is more accurate to say that Jacindas all time high is closer to Keys all time low than his all time high...
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@baron-silas-greenback That's a good example of the extremely biased coverage Taxinda gets. Fake News!
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Key's highest favourable rating was 81% Adern's was 76% in May (both from UMR Research).
Doesn't change one jot the fact that IMO Labour are far more likely to win the next election for the reasons I outlined.
I'm not saying they deserve to - just that I believe at this stage ( 2 years out) they are more likely to. I only posted because if an outsider were to read this topic they would think Labour were toast
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@dogmeat said in NZ Politics:
Key's highest favourable rating was 81% Adern's was 76% in May (both from UMR Research).
Doesn't change one jot the fact that IMO Labour are far more likely to win the next election for the reasons I outlined.
I'm not saying they deserve to - just that I believe at this stage ( 2 years out) they are more likely to. I only posted because if an outsider were to read this topic they would think Labour were toast
I agree. People seem to be anaesthetised to Labour's incompetence. National don't have a coalition partner of significance to help. 3 more years. I hope I'm wrong
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@canefan said in NZ Politics:
I agree. People seem to be anaesthetised to Labour's incompetence. National don't have a coalition partner of significance to help. 3 more years. I hope I'm wrong
If Greens and NZF make it through to the next election, Labour are back in. 5+5+high 30's gets you there with wasted vote.
If either doesn't make it, though, or the coalition falls apart (like most coalitions involving Winston), then Nationa's got a path to victory.
But yeah, it's tough without a partner
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@nzzp said in NZ Politics:
@canefan said in NZ Politics:
I agree. People seem to be anaesthetised to Labour's incompetence. National don't have a coalition partner of significance to help. 3 more years. I hope I'm wrong
If Greens and NZF make it through to the next election, Labour are back in. 5+5+high 30's gets you there with wasted vote.
If either doesn't make it, though, or the coalition falls apart (like most coalitions involving Winston), then Nationa's got a path to victory.
But yeah, it's tough without a partner
Bill English said during the leaders debates that politics wasn't a popularity contest. Once they lost he said fostering a coalition partner would not be a priority this term. Wrong on both counts
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@canefan yep. St C and JK before her have shown being personable and able to smile and talk to people is a huge bonus, all that other stuff like budgets, teachers strike etc, white noise!
Which reminds me, I need to book a day off for the next teachers strike
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Can the fern crowdfund on of these for the toad for Xmas?
Discuss -
@JC would you mind sending our PM a message to explain some basic economics to her?
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@no-quarter said in NZ Politics:
@JC would you mind sending our PM a message to explain some basic economics to her?
I’ll wait till she sets up a commission. They’ve got so many on the go they must be getting round to me by default.
Anyway what makes you think she’ll listen to anything she doesn’t already “know”?
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This was on Kiwiblog
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JLR releases another tape and then there’s more news of our dodgy Czech
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12155462
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@jegga said in NZ Politics:
JLR releases another tape and then there’s more news of our dodgy Czech
"The Czech Republic has also indicated a desire to extradite Sroubek, who had an arrest warrant in the country for outstanding criminal proceedings."
There we are - he does have somewhere to go after all.
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Probably there'll be a slight bounce in the next quarter given the nature of the survey, but on the face of it, business confidence vs. business actions might be two different things over the last quarter.
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@taniwharugby Always good to see the "no surprises" rule in practice!
NZ Politics